Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 34.264882 36.897356 39.771597 43.169087 47.110653 51.584474 57.113407
2025-09-21 30.022422 33.387517 37.286308 42.220200 48.425821 56.164800 66.889692
2025-09-28 27.341734 31.003788 35.404969 41.225764 48.961724 59.293365 74.967741
2025-10-05 26.428172 30.533856 35.648234 42.721563 52.687547 67.060386 91.396657
2025-10-12 25.467486 29.860355 35.491427 43.572234 55.544885 74.063699 109.027801
2025-10-19 24.538271 29.118831 35.131176 44.034028 57.822134 80.579541 128.535653
2025-10-26 23.608697 28.289499 34.553478 44.075436 59.397042 86.214584 149.169069
2025-11-02 22.561586 27.224343 33.552273 43.359335 59.602785 89.378476 165.989585
2025-11-09 21.555138 26.152221 32.460138 42.388004 59.222592 91.301747 180.909695
2025-11-16 20.714555 25.262123 31.567659 41.639684 59.115414 93.740532 199.378504
2025-11-23 19.988556 24.494107 30.802895 41.022442 59.151113 96.487686 221.605292
2025-11-30 19.715401 24.345776 30.932459 41.849464 61.945037 106.212679 283.993206
2025-12-07 19.124218 23.735473 30.363868 41.520544 62.586757 111.291307 337.995068
2025-12-14 18.434885 22.956697 29.501874 40.633111 62.019839 113.177981 380.324682
2025-12-21 17.786476 22.210929 28.652378 39.702777 61.249952 114.341037 423.529539
2025-12-28 17.729027 22.321601 29.123723 41.101759 65.542906 131.795341 725.969627
2026-01-04 17.535549 22.219685 29.251745 41.896267 68.682822 147.675467 1387.660265
2026-01-11 17.276334 22.006447 29.187170 42.327240 71.075853 162.640598 3676.937843
2026-01-18 16.953899 21.683842 28.927009 42.365874 72.542854 175.164861 47539.703869
2026-01-25 16.512520 21.164572 28.321204 41.697499 72.158578 179.624980 NaN
2026-02-01 16.048617 20.597133 27.614337 40.790005 71.058959 180.390364 NaN
2026-02-08 15.647218 20.114599 27.030738 40.090154 70.422382 183.311120 NaN
2026-02-15 15.288290 19.687612 26.524109 39.512423 70.043068 187.545726 NaN